Bracket Projection Performance

I correctly picked 31 out of 34 at large teams this year. I'm slightly disappointed as I expected to get 33 or 34 correct.

Projected in but did not get in: New Mexico, Dayton, Illinois State.
Projected out but got in: Oregon, Villanova, Kentucky.

Seed and region correct:

1. North Carolina (1-East)
2. Coppin State (16-East)
3. Memphis (1-South)
4. Marquette (6-South)
5. Stanford (3-South)
6. Austin Peay (15-South)
7. Kansas (1-Midwest)
8. Clemson (5-Midwest)
9. UCLA (1-West)
10. Xavier (3-West)
11. Duke (2-West)
12. Texas A&M (9-West)

Seed correct:

1. Brigham Young (8)
2. Texas (2)
3. Mississippi Valley State (16)
4. San Diego (13)
5. Cornell (14)
6. UMBC (15)
7. Tennessee (2)
8. Pittsburgh (4)
9. West Virginia (7)
10. Mount St. Mary's (16)
11. Belmont (15)
12. Notre Dame (5)
13. Texas-Arlington (16)
14. Oral Roberts (13)
15. Cal State Fullerton (14)

Total: 27/65 (41.5%) of teams received the seed they were projected to get.

Teams within one seed: (projected/actual)

1. Connecticut (5/4)
2. Georgetown (3/2)
3. USC (7/6)
4. South Alabama (11/10)
5. St. Joe's (10/11)
6. Louisville (4/3)
7. UNLV (7/8)
8. American (16/15)
9. Boise State (13/14)
10. Temple (11/12)
11. Winthrop (14/13)
12. Baylor (10/11)
13. Wisconsin (2/3)
14. Mississippi State (9/8)
15. George Mason (11/12)
16. Siena (14/13)
17. Gonzaga (8/7)
18. Michigan State (6/5)
19. Davidson (11/10)
20. Kent State (10/9)
21. Portland State (15/16)

21/65 = 32.3%

48/65 (73.8%) of the teams received a seed exactly as or one different than they were projected to.

Teams within two seeds: (projected/actual)

1. Purdue (4/6)
2. Vanderbilt (6/4)
3. Kansas State (9/11)
4. Oklahoma (8/6)
5. Miami (9/7)
6. St. Mary's (8/10)
7. Washington State (6/4)
8. Drake (3/5)
9. Arizona (12/10)
10. Western Kentucky (10/12)
11. Arkansas (7/9)
12. Georgia (12/14)

12/65 = 18.5%

Teams three or more seeds different: (projected/actual)

1. Indiana (5/8)
2. Butler (4/7)

2/65 = 3%

Correct matchups:

North Carolina vs. play-in winner
Louisville vs. Boise State