Big East Statistics Results

Here are the rankings based on the data, which was: 32% backcourt, 32% frontcourt, 15% scoring defense, 15% FG% defense, and 6% depth.

Raw Rankings:

1. West Virginia (34.921)
2. Georgetown (34.191)
3. Notre Dame (34.148)
4. Marquette (33.991)
5. South Florida (33.731)
6. Connecticut (33.491)
7. Pittsburgh (32.911)
8. Louisville (32.565)
9. Villanova (31.764)
10. Syracuse (31.635)
11. Providence (31.542)
12. Seton Hall (31.105)
13. St. John's (30.879)
14. Rutgers (29.752)
15. DePaul (28.920)
16. Cincinnati (28.517)

Adjusted Rankings:

1. West Virginia (34.974)
2. Marquette (33.755)
3. South Florida (33.661)
4. Georgetown (33.648)
5. Notre Dame (33.629)
6. Connecticut (33.415)
7. Pittsburgh (33.323)
8. Louisville (32.802)
9. Syracuse (32.256)
10. Villanova (32.254)
11. Providence (32.056)
12. St. John's (31.203)
13. Seton Hall (31.127)
14. DePaul (29.437)
15. Rutgers (29.215)
16. Cincinnati (28.690)

A few observations:

I was surprised at some of this, mostly how accurate it is compared to my current power rankings of the conference. Obviously, South Florida is the major outlier and I don't quite know why that is. Maybe they're better than we all think? We'll see. West Virginia is good, but I don't think they're the #1 team in the conference. I question that outcome as well. The other outlier is Cincinnati, as I don't think they are the worst team in the league. Notre Dame scored too high and Villanova probably scored too low, but the rest is pretty good in my opinion. We'll see how this model does in predicting Big East games. It's already 0-1 as it had Louisville beating Cincinnati yesterday.

Predictions will be based on the model's output, my personal Big East rankings, and home advantage. Here's how I rated each team's home advantage, on a scale of one to five:

Cincinnati- 3
Connecticut- 4
DePaul- 2
Georgetown- 4
Louisville- 4
Marquette- 4
Notre Dame- 4
Pittsburgh- 5
Providence- 3
Rutgeres- 4
Seton Hall- 3
South Florida- 2
St. John's- 2
Syracuse- 5
Villanova- 4
West Virginia- 4

My current Big East rankings are: (these will change as the year goes on)

1. Georgetown
2. Marquette
3. Pittsburgh
4. Villanova
5. West Virginia
6. Connecticut
7. Notre Dame
8. Providence
9. Syracuse
10. Louisville
11. Seton Hall
12. South Florida
13. Cincinnati
14. St. John's
15. Rutgers
16. DePaul