Big East Model Preseason Projections

Here's how the standings came out based purely on how the teams stand at this point in the season.

1. Georgetown (15-3)
2. Villanova (13-5)
3. Connecticut (13-5)
4. Notre Dame (13-5)
5. West Virginia (13-5)
6. Marquette (13-5)
7. Pittsburgh (12-6)
8. Syracuse (10-8)
9. Providence (10-8)
10. Louisville (9-9)
11. South Florida (8-10)
12. Seton Hall (6-12)
13. Rutgers (3-15)
14. St. John's (3-15)
15. Cincinnati (2-16)
16. DePaul (1-17)

Aside from Villanova, UConn, and Notre Dame being so high, I don't think this is too far fetched. I do think Marquette will finish in the top three (technically they did, but lost on tiebreakers). There is a noticable drop off from 12th place Seton Hall to 13th place Rutgers, and that should prove to be true. I don't think Seton Hall will finish 12th, but whoever does will definetly be much better than the bottom four teams. Cincinnati might creep up into the 11-12 range, but that remains to be seen.

The closest games, according to the numbers: (* = projected winner)

1. March 8: Marquette (41.255) @ Syracuse* (41.256)
2. January 30: Seton Hall (34.127) @ Rutgers* (34.215)
3. February 16: Georgetown* (41.648) @ Syracuse (41.256)
4. March 8: Notre Dame* (38.629) @ South Florida (38.161)
5. March 1: Seton Hall (34.127) @ St. John's* (34.703)
6. March 6: Connecticut (38.915) @ Providence* (39.556)
7. January 10: West Virginia (39.629) @ Louisville* (40.302)
8. February 16: Connecticut* (38.915) @ South Florida (38.161)
9. March 8: Villanova (38.754) @ Providence* (39.556)
10. January 19: Louisville (36.302) @ Seton Hall* (37.127)
11. March 5: Syracuse (36.256) @ Seton Hall* (37.127)
12. March 1: Pittsburgh (40.323) @ Syracuse* (41.256)
13. January 17: Marquette* (41.255) @ Louisville (40.302)
14. January 17: South Florida (36.161) @ Seton Hall* (37.127)
15. February 13: St. John's (32.703) @ Cincinnati* (33.690)

Based on that, it should be a roller coaster ride for Seton Hall (5 games) and Syracuse (4 games) fans, yours truly included.

*Keep in mind this is an amateur model and I'm just testing it out to see how it does.*